Thanksgiving is here. One of my favorite holidays. Football, food and beer. Can’t beat that right? Anyway, while we are all taking this weekend to relax and maybe work off all the food, have a look at our picks for Week 12.
First let’s see how the boys did in Week 11:
Week 11 Records:
Blind Owl: 6-6-2
Looks to be more of the same. The Cowboy gets a narrow win, I hang close and Brendawn has a close loss. Let’s see how that impacts the overall records.
Blind Owl: 73-81-7
The Cowboy has extended his lead. 3 games may be the largest lead of the year so far. I’m not too worried. It’s not even close to an insurmountable lead. Brendawn is the one who should be concerned. He is slowly sliding further and further away (like his hairline back in 2010). He has to make a big move soon or it’ll be too late. Can he do that? Will the cowboy continue to slowly distance himself from us (like he did when he moved to California then Florida)? Or will I make a big move (like a bowel movement on the porcelain throne) and take the lead? Find out if your reader picks for Week 12 in the NFL:
BUF @ DET: BUF -9.5
Blind Owl: There’s no better Thanksgiving tradition than the Lions losing by a lot.
Concret3Cowboy: You know the rules… there’s exceptions to rules… but this one is going to stay.
BrendawnoftheDead: E.Z. Money - Bills by a billion
NYG @ DAL: DAL -9.5
Blind Owl: I’ve been on the Dallas bandwagon since we picked our division winners back in September. I rolled With them even through the Cooper rush era. Like Brendawn, I think they’re going to win. I’m just concerned it won’t be by 10. I was the only one to pick them to win over Minnesota and it was definitely proven right in that game last week. I’ll keep riding with them I guess. Go Big D!!
Concret3Cowboy: I don’t care for Dallas, but they made me look foolish last week as they steamrolled the Vikings. The Giants have come back to Earth a good bit but they’re still playing good football. Every statistic says that the Cowboys win, but by how much is the question. I have a new rule for ATS picks, don’t pick with Brendan. Cowboys cover.
BrendawnoftheDead: I like Dallas to win this game. I don't like Dallas to win by 2 scores. Division game, short week of prep, Cowboys being the Cowboys… Giants cover
NE @ MIN: MIN -2.5
Blind Owl: Have you ever gotten the crap bear out of you so bad you wanted to kill someone afterwards? Well, the Patriots are going to be on the other end of a revenge beating. Minnesota big.
Concret3Cowboy: For the Vikings, this is exactly what you want after an embarrassing loss. Not that the Patriots are an easy victim, but that they get to get over that dismembering they received from the Cowboys as near as instant as possible in the NFL. Justin Jefferson is going to enjoy being on a bigger stage and he’s going to have a good game (hopefully for my fantasy team). The Patriots offense just won't be able to keep pace.
BrendawnoftheDead: I want New England to win with every fiber of my being but sunshine and rainbows don't make for intelligent gambling. The Patriots can't score points. The play calling is the culprit here. There is no setting up future plays, every call is predictable, the routes have no spacing, and they are enamored with shotgun when they cannot hold blocks long enough to effectively run it. The Vikings don't have these problems so they will cover.
DEN @ CAR: DEN -1
Blind Owl: Ugh. I really can’t stand picking these Bronco games. It is truly painful. For a team that should be so good, they are so bad. Last week had some promising moments…but it fell apart. The team finally cut ties with Melvin Gordon, who fumbled in a key situation, to sort of trim the fat. Hopefully it is an addition by subtraction kind of thing. I have no reason to pick the Broncos other than my fanhood. Carolina has actually been surprising since they traded their best player. I’m going to stick to my fanhood. Go Broncos. Don’t hurt me again.
Concret3Cowboy: These Broncos are more disappointing than when your first born son goes to a liberal arts school. They haven’t beaten the Raiders in 9 games (almost 5 years) or some stupid crap. I hate them, they hate me and they hate themselves. I don’t know who to pick so I’m going with Carolina so I can be happy if the Broncos lose.
BrendawnoftheDead: I have no faith in either offense to do anything productive but I have faith in the Broncos defense. I think they will win by a point, given that is mathematically the smallest possible margin of victory.
TB @ CLE: TB -3.5
Blind Owl: This could be an interesting game. The Buccaneers have underachieved but are looking better recently. Meanwhile the Browns are anxiously awaiting the return of rub’n’tug Deshaun Watson to return next week. That means Jacoby Brissett is going to try and play his ass off to prove he deserves the spot over a sex criminal. That means he’ll either do great or try to do too much. The Browns will hang in for a while, but I think the Bucs will pull away and win by double digits.
Concret3Cowboy: Tampa is starting to heat up. Cleveland is Cleveland, I’d expect a similar outcome like they had against the Bills in Detroit last week. The Browns field got more torn up by a golf cart than anything close to what their offense has done this season. Will that change with Watson next week? Doubtful.
BrendawnoftheDead: I don't think Cleveland has the outside weapons to threaten Tampa. Cleveland doesn't have the defense to pull off the victory in a tight game either. Look for Tampa to win by a TD.
CIN @ TEN: CIN -2.5
Blind Owl: It’s getting late in the year and I’ve got to start making moves. Per usual, the Cowboy is going to pick the Bengals. So I have to make the opposite pick and take the Titans to cover. Hopefully a huge game from King Henry.
Concret3Cowboy: I am unsure why the Owl thinks I have a fanhood with the Bengals. I like Joe Burreaux (Editor’s Note: He spelled Burrow the weird French/Cajun way because he is weird. LSU lost right after he texted that they were going to make the CFB playoff, so that was nice), because of LSU and that’s really because he’s the only QB the school has had in its history. I like the Titans here, they’re becoming kind of a dark horse. The defense is playing a lot better and even without offense weapons outside Derrick Henry, they’ve worked their way to 7-3. I like the Titans defense to get them this game.
BrendawnoftheDead: I typically pick Tennessee because I'm a big fan of King Henry. I don't think that will be enough to beat Cincy. Even without Chase, they have a lot of weapons to work with and Tennessee isn't built for a shootout. Cincy by field goal.
HOU @ MIA: MIA -14
Blind Owl: Well shit. Am I blind or does that say 14? Well I am, but it does still say 14. Are the Dolphins that good? Or are the Texans that bad? I think it may be both. I know I’ve been saying I like Davis Mills, I would make sweet, sweet love to this man if I had the chance. (Editor’s Note: I didn’t write that but I assume Davis Mills is richer than me, so for the right price, yeah maybe I would), but every time I do that, he throws a pick or twelve. So you know what? Screw him. I gave him props for too long. Tua’s in, that means I pick the Dolphins.
Concret3Cowboy: The most the Texans have lost by is 18 and that was to the Raiders. The next closest? 13 to the Commanders and then 12 to the Eagles. I hate big spreads and whenever I go with them I lose. So F it, I’ll take the Texans here. It was fun leading this season.
BrendawnoftheDead: Ummm yeah that's a big spread but eff it, Dolphins all the way. I need Tua to have himself a big day for fantasy purposes so I'll type it into action here.
CHI @ NYJ: NYJ -6
Blind Owl: We’ve got a new starting QB in New York. Coming off the most boring game possible last week, Zack Wilson is riding the pine. That being said, I’m going to have to ride with the Bears with 6 points. FIelds isn’t playing. So that means it’s up to Nathan Pederman and Trevor Simiean (or however you spell it. Not worth looking up). Ugh this is a tough one. The benefit of being the one that posts this is can change it quickly. I picked the Bears yesterday, but I changed my mind. JETS.
Concret3Cowboy: Oof, I wanted to pick the Jets but Brendawn came in and took them… breaking my own rule here and riding with him.
BrendawnoftheDead: Fields is unlikely to play and the Jets have a good defense. It doesn't matter who plays QB for gang green, their defense will do the heavy lifting and likely score on their own. Jets cover.
ATL @ WAS: WAS -4
Blind Owl: I’m out on Davis Mills. Now I’m all in on Taylor Heinicke. He’ll lead Washington to glory!
Concret3Cowboy: Washington? I’ve liked Atlanta and the Commanders have kind of screwed me. But Washington has their defense doing well and Atlanta’s dirty birds are kind of whatever right now.
BrendawnoftheDead: Atlanta drives me insane so I won't pick them.
BAL @ JAX: BAL -3.5
Blind Owl: Lamar Jackson apparently has a hip injury. He’s going to play but that’ll be something to watch. The Ravens have been sluggish recently. Traditional wisdom is never to take the Jaguars. But as sluggish as they’ve been, the Ravens can pull out a TD win over the Jags.
Concret3Cowboy: Old people move to Florida to help with their aches and pains. That’ll be good for Lamar and his hip as well. I usually like teams coming off their bye week but the Jags just aren’t there yet, they lack veterans to have that focus. The Ravens have been hit or miss but I like them here.
BrendawnoftheDead: The spread seems kind of tight but what do I know? Baltimore wins by a bunch.
LAC @ ARI: LAC -3
Blind Owl: Arizona can’t keep disappointing me. Not this week. I’ll take the Chargers and hope for a shootout. My undefeated fantasy season needs Murray to go off.
Concret3Cowboy: The battle of disappointment. Arizona stinks, still waiting for a good team to get either version of Hard Knocks. I don’t care much for the Chargers either but at least they're getting over their injury bugs.
BrendawnoftheDead: Arizona is the definition of a dysfunctional football team. Murray is more interested in warzone than football, Kingsbury was never a good coach either. The Chargers have some of their weapons back so look for them to cover.
LV @ SEA: SEA -4
Blind Owl: Screw the Raiders. Seahawks.
Concret3Cowboy: I FUCKING HATE THE RAIDERS AND NOW I’M TYPING IN CAPS SO YOU KNOW IM MAD!!!!!!!
BrendawnoftheDead: The Raiders stink. Seattle does not.
LAR @ KC: KC -15.5
Blind Owl: Imagine that? People circled this game on the calendar at the beginning of the year and said it’s going to be a great one. Not sure about you, but KC being 15.5 point favorites is the recipe for a great game. The Rams still have no Kupp, so they’ll lose. WIll they lose 16? Oh yeah. It’s going to be bad.
Concret3Cowboy: Wow. It’s bad I like KC with this giant spread. The Rams stink, so bad.
BrendawnoftheDead: Every ounce of my being says picking big spreads is a recipe for disaster but my instincts have been a bit off, just look at my record overall. KC can do whatever the hell they want and the Rams simply can't stop them or score enough to make it interesting. So I'm going with KC, spread be damned.
NO @ SF: SF -9.5
Blind Owl: The Cowboy loves the Saints for some reason. He has ever since we started this thing. I’m sure he’ll say something about their defense and claim “I have the lead, that means I’m right.” Regardless of that, I’ve got to make up some ground, so I’ll take the 9ers.
Concret3Cowboy: Saints defense, I have the lead so I’m right. Saints cover.
BrendawnoftheDead: This is where I put my foot down. The spread is too high damnit, Saints cover.
GB @ PHI: PHI -6.5
Blind Owl: The Eagles are in line for an epic collapse like the NFC East always does. But it’s the sucky ass Packers…Nope. I won’t do it. Gotta stick with my guns. No more Packers. E-A-G-L-E-S
Concret3Cowboy: Philly Philly? Still funny how their coach talked shit to fans after they beat the Colts by winning by a point, so he “avenged” Frank Reich’s firing? Your butt buddy sucked at HC dude.. it happens.
BrendawnoftheDead: The Packers don't score points easily, the Eagles do. Philly.
PIT @ IND: IND -2.5
Blind Owl: To be quite honest, I’m just picking the home favorite in this one. Although Jonathan Taylor and the Steelers’ ineptitude on offense makes it easier.
Concret3Cowboy: They almost did it against the Eagles last week, which means absolutely nothing in the NFL but how can they do it when they’re expected to win? Well I like them to win and cover too.
BrendawnoftheDead: Colts I guess?